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1. Linear Modelling

A linear model $y = mx + c$ describes a constant rate of change. In context, the gradient $m$ is the rate of change of $y$ with respect to $x$, and the $y$-intercept $c$ is the initial value.

Linear Function

$f(x) = mx + c$

$m = \dfrac{\Delta y}{\Delta x}$ = gradient = rate of change

$c$ = $y$-intercept = value when $x=0$

Linear models are appropriate when a scatter diagram shows a roughly linear trend and the rate of change is constant throughout the domain. Always assess whether a linear model is suitable before fitting one.

2. Quadratic Functions in Context

Quadratic models $f(x) = ax^2 + bx + c$ appear in projectile motion, profit/cost analysis, and engineering. The vertex gives the maximum or minimum value.

Quadratic Function

Vertex form: $f(x) = a(x-h)^2 + k$, vertex at $(h,k)$

Vertex coordinates: $h = -\dfrac{b}{2a}$, $k = f(h)$

$a > 0$: opens upward (minimum at vertex)

$a < 0$: opens downward (maximum at vertex)

Worked Example 1

Profit Optimization: Quadratic Model

A company's weekly profit is modelled by $P(x) = -2x^2 + 80x - 300$ (dollars), where $x$ is the number of units produced (in hundreds). Find the maximum profit and the production level that achieves it.

1
Vertex $x$-coordinate: $h = -\dfrac{80}{2(-2)} = -\dfrac{80}{-4} = 20$
2
Maximum profit: $P(20) = -2(400) + 80(20) - 300 = -800 + 1600 - 300 = \$500$
3
Interpretation: Maximum weekly profit of \$500 is achieved when 2000 units are produced. The parabola opens downward ($a=-2<0$), confirming a maximum.

3. Exponential Models

Exponential functions model growth and decay processes where the rate of change is proportional to the current quantity.

Exponential Growth and Decay

General form: $y = a \cdot b^x$ where $a$ = initial value, $b$ = growth/decay factor

$b > 1$: exponential growth   $0 < b < 1$: exponential decay

Continuous form: $y = ae^{kx}$ where $k > 0$ (growth) or $k < 0$ (decay)

Half-life: Time for quantity to halve: $t_{1/2} = \dfrac{\ln 2}{k}$ (for $y=ae^{-kt}$)

Worked Example 2

Drug Concentration: Exponential Decay

A drug concentration in the bloodstream is modelled by $C(t) = 80e^{-0.2t}$ mg/L, where $t$ is in hours. Find: (a) the initial concentration; (b) the concentration after 3 hours; (c) when concentration falls below 10 mg/L.

1
(a) $C(0) = 80e^0 = 80$ mg/L
2
(b) $C(3) = 80e^{-0.6} \approx 80 \times 0.5488 \approx 43.9$ mg/L
3
(c) Set $80e^{-0.2t} = 10$: $e^{-0.2t} = 0.125 = 1/8$, so $-0.2t = \ln(1/8) = -\ln 8$, giving $t = \dfrac{\ln 8}{0.2} \approx 10.4$ hours.

4. Logistic Growth Model

Logistic growth occurs when a population is limited by a carrying capacity $L$. Unlike exponential growth, logistic growth slows as the population approaches $L$.

Logistic Model

$$P(t) = \frac{L}{1+Ce^{-kt}}$$

$L$ = carrying capacity (maximum sustainable population)

As $t \to \infty$, $P \to L$ (the population approaches but never exceeds $L$).

Growth is fastest when $P = L/2$ (the inflection point).

Worked Example 3

Logistic Population Model

A fish population follows $P(t) = \dfrac{5000}{1+9e^{-0.3t}}$ where $t$ is in years. Find the carrying capacity, initial population, and when the population exceeds 4000.

1
Carrying capacity: As $t\to\infty$, $e^{-0.3t}\to 0$, so $P\to\dfrac{5000}{1} = 5000$ fish.
2
Initial population: $P(0) = \dfrac{5000}{1+9} = \dfrac{5000}{10} = 500$ fish.
3
When $P = 4000$: $\dfrac{5000}{1+9e^{-0.3t}} = 4000 \Rightarrow 1+9e^{-0.3t} = 1.25 \Rightarrow e^{-0.3t} = \dfrac{0.25}{9}$
4
Solve: $-0.3t = \ln\!\left(\dfrac{1}{36}\right) \Rightarrow t = \dfrac{\ln 36}{0.3} \approx 11.9$ years
AI Exam Focus: You will be given the model equation and asked to interpret parameters, evaluate, and solve. You will not usually be asked to derive the model. Use your GDC to solve equations like $P(t) = 4000$ numerically.

Practice Problems

Q1. The temperature of a cooling cup of coffee is $T(t) = 20 + 65e^{-0.1t}$ (°C), where $t$ is in minutes. Find: (a) initial temperature; (b) room temperature; (c) time to reach 40°C.
Show Solution

(a) $T(0) = 20 + 65 = 85$°C

(b) As $t\to\infty$: $T\to 20$°C (room temperature)

(c) $20+65e^{-0.1t}=40 \Rightarrow e^{-0.1t}=20/65=4/13 \Rightarrow t = -10\ln(4/13) = 10\ln(13/4) \approx 11.9$ min

Q2. A ball is thrown upward with height $h(t) = -5t^2 + 20t + 2$ metres, where $t$ is in seconds. Find the maximum height and when it hits the ground.
Show Solution

Vertex: $t = -\dfrac{20}{2(-5)} = 2$ s. Max height $= -5(4)+40+2 = 22$ m.

Hits ground when $h=0$: $5t^2-20t-2=0 \Rightarrow t = \dfrac{20\pm\sqrt{400+40}}{10} \approx \dfrac{20+\sqrt{440}}{10} \approx 4.10$ s

Q3. Data shows: $x$: 0, 1, 2, 3; $y$: 2, 6, 18, 54. Identify the model type and find its equation.
Show Solution

Each $y$ value is multiplied by 3 as $x$ increases by 1 (constant ratio). This is exponential growth.

$y = a \cdot b^x$. At $x=0$: $a=2$. Growth factor $b=3$. Equation: $y = 2 \times 3^x$.

5. Exam Tips